Model health
Every day we measure how accurate the model's forecasts are on the live market and publish the result — including the days the model asked you not to trust it.
The model is forecasting weaker than usual. Signals still publish, but treat them with care — size down.
of 118 days the model itself asked you to be careful or sit out. We show this rather than hide it: a service that never doubts itself is a red flag.
- Normal — forecasts beat random, signals run normally.
- Caution — accuracy dipped; signals still publish but with lower conviction.
- Alert — forecasts stopped working; the system stops opening new positions until it recovers.
Live IC is the correlation between the model's forecasts and what actually happened. Above 0 beats random, 0 is a coin flip, below 0 means the model is systematically wrong.
This is a technical forecast-quality metric, not a promise of returns and not individual investment advice. Past results don't guarantee future ones.
Model health and every closed trade are readable without an account — on purpose: you should be able to check us before you sign up. The daily brief, the signals and the exit plan open up after sign-in.